Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21 Saturday 01st August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Sutton Utd Southampton U21

Sutton Utd W W D L W D

Southampton U21 W W W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Sutton Utd edge this as slight favorites thanks to their strong recent form, though the teams are closely matched overall—the model gives them a 47% chance of victory. Both sides have shown attacking quality, with Southampton U21 particularly dangerous in front of goal despite their moderate form, leading the model to predict both teams will likely score. The prediction flags over 1.5 goals as especially likely at 70%, with the model also favoring a high-scoring game overall, reflecting the attacking threat from both sides and Southampton U21's rest advantage potentially helping them contribute to a goal-heavy fixture.

Sutton Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Folkestone Invicta	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Horsham	2 - 0	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Walton & Hersham	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	AFC Wimbledon	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Tonbridge Angels	0 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	AFC Totton	2 - 2	Draw

Southampton U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Maidenhead	1 - 3	Win
Jul 22, 25	Home	Crawley Town	2 - 1	Win
Jul 19, 25	Away	Farnborough	4 - 6	Win
Aug 3, 24	Away	Chippenham Town	1 - 2	Win
Oct 18, 22	Away	Newport County	2 - 1	Loss
Oct 4, 22	Away	Exeter City	2 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.96% likelihood that both Sutton Utd and Southampton U21 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Sutton Utd to win

This prediction indicates that Sutton Utd has a 46.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.31 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Sutton Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)

Southampton U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Sutton Utd to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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