Grimsby vs Grimsby Borough Tuesday 04th August 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Grimsby Grimsby Borough

Grimsby W D W W D D

Grimsby Borough D L D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Grimsby has dominated meetings between these two sides, which sets the tone for this friendly. The model predicts a home win with a 67% probability, reflecting Grimsby's clear quality gap and stronger recent form compared to Grimsby Borough. Despite Grimsby Borough having a rest advantage, the model also suggests a 53% chance that both teams will score and a 57% chance that there will be over 1.5 goals, indicating an expectation of a dynamic match with a good chance of goals being scored.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Grimsby Borough	Grimsby	1 - 1	July 8, 2025
Grimsby Borough	Grimsby	0 - 2	July 9, 2024
Grimsby Borough	Grimsby	1 - 5	July 4, 2023

Grimsby Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Wigan	2 - 0	Win
Jul 29, 26	Away	Boston United	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 28, 26	Home	Lincoln	5 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Hartlepool	0 - 3	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Zorya Luhansk	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Cleethorpes Town	0 - 0	Draw

Grimsby Borough Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Cleethorpes Town	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 16, 25	Away	Halesowen Town	6 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 25	Home	Halesowen Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 30, 25	Away	Eastwood Community	1 - 2	Win
Aug 16, 25	Away	Blackstones	1 - 2	Win
Aug 2, 25	Away	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	0 - 1	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.56% likelihood that both Grimsby and Grimsby Borough will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Grimsby to win

This prediction indicates that Grimsby has a 66.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.55 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed