Woking vs Crawley Town Tuesday 04th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Woking Crawley Town

Woking L L L W L W

Crawley Town W L L W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Woking with a 54% probability. Despite Woking having a clear quality gap in their favor and a notable rest advantage, their poor recent form contrasts with Crawley Town's moderate recent form. The model also sees a 51% chance that both teams will score and a 53% chance that there will be over 2.5 goals in the match. As market odds are unavailable, no comparison can be made between the model's view and public expectations.

Woking Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Reading	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	Braintree	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Portsmouth	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Sholing	1 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	FC Halifax Town	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Gateshead	0 - 3	Win

Crawley Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 3, 26	Away	York	0 - 2	Win
Jul 31, 26	Home	Reading	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Away	Oxford United	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Eastleigh	0 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Salford City	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Accrington ST	3 - 3	Draw

Predictions

Woking to win

This prediction indicates that Woking has a 54.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.54 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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