Boreham Wood vs Chelsea U21 Tuesday 04th August 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Boreham Wood Chelsea U21

Boreham Wood W W W D W W

Chelsea U21 D D L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Boreham Wood has been in strong form recently and shows a clear quality advantage, while Chelsea U21 has struggled defensively and is coming off poorer performances. Despite the rest advantage for Chelsea U21, the model predicts Boreham Wood has a 58% chance to win this match. The model also sees a good chance for both teams to score (54%) and for the game to exceed one or two goals (over 1.5 goals at 56%, over 2.5 goals at 61%), reflecting Boreham Wood's attacking strength and Chelsea U21's defensive issues.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Boreham Wood	Chelsea U21	3 - 3	July 18, 2023

Boreham Wood Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Norwich City U21	2 - 1	Win
Jul 28, 26	Away	Dagenham & Redbridge	1 - 2	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Tottenham Hotspur U21	2 - 1	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	Arsenal U21	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Away	Real Bedford	2 - 8	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Watford	2 - 1	Win

Chelsea U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Home	Cardiff City U21	0 - 0	Draw
Oct 28, 25	Away	Walsall	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 23, 25	Away	Northampton	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 26, 25	Away	Shrewsbury	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 26, 25	Away	Club Brugge II	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 19, 25	Away	Bromley	2 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.88% likelihood that both Boreham Wood and Chelsea U21 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Boreham Wood to win

This prediction indicates that Boreham Wood has a 58.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.65 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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