Al-Nassr vs Almeria Tuesday 04th August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Al-Nassr Almeria

Al-Nassr L W L W D W

Almeria L L W L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Almeria with a 38% probability. Despite Al-Nassr having a clear quality advantage and showing strong attacking form recently, Almeria's poor recent form influences the prediction. The market odds suggest a slightly stronger favor towards Al-Nassr, making the model's view notably more cautious. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance for over 1.5 goals (66%), aligning closely with the market’s strong preference for a high-scoring game.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Almeria	Al-Nassr	3 - 2	August 10, 2025

Al-Nassr Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Estrela	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Away	Mérida AD	0 - 2	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	Benfica B	2 - 1	Loss
May 21, 26	Home	Dhamk	4 - 1	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 7, 26	Away	Al Shabab	2 - 4	Win

Almeria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Real Betis	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 29, 26	Away	Granada CF	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Águilas	0 - 1	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Malaga	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Malaga	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 9, 26	Home	Castellón	3 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.83% likelihood that both Al-Nassr and Almeria will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Almeria to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Almeria has a 37.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.14 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Top Picks

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Odds Comparison

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