Tavistock vs Plymouth Tuesday 04th August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Tavistock Plymouth

Tavistock L W W W W W

Plymouth D W W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Plymouth with a 60% probability. Plymouth is seen as clearly better in quality, which supports the prediction. Despite Tavistock having more recent rest, both teams are in strong form recently, and there is little historical data to guide expectations. The model also suggests a high likelihood of goals, with both teams scoring and both over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals seen as more probable.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tavistock	Plymouth	0 - 0	July 24, 2021

Tavistock Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 25	Home	Swindon Supermarine	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 16, 25	Away	Barnstaple Town	1 - 2	Win
Aug 2, 25	Home	St Austell	5 - 0	Win
Jul 26, 25	Home	Briton Ferry	2 - 1	Win
Jul 22, 25	Home	Ivybridge Town	3 - 2	Win
Jul 19, 25	Away	Plymouth Parkway	1 - 2	Win

Plymouth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Bristol City	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Truro City	0 - 1	Win
Jul 21, 26	Away	Torquay	0 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Bath City	0 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Plymouth Parkway	1 - 4	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Northampton	2 - 3	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.97% likelihood that both Tavistock and Plymouth will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Plymouth to win

This prediction indicates that Plymouth has a 60.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.60 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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