Geel vs Sporting Hasselt Tuesday 04th August 2026 08:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Geel Sporting Hasselt

Geel W L L W W W

Sporting Hasselt W W L W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Geel and Sporting Hasselt are in decent attacking shape recently, but Sporting Hasselt arrive with stronger overall recent form and a clear quality edge. However, Geel do benefit from a rest advantage going into the match. The model predicts an away win with a 45% probability and also leans toward both teams scoring and more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals being scored, seeing the game as one where both sides are likely to find the net and the match will be reasonably open.

Geel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 13, 25	Away	Thes Sport	1 - 4	Win
Aug 3, 25	Away	K. Kontich	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 24	Away	Meux	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 17, 24	Home	Wezel	2 - 1	Win
Aug 10, 24	Home	Crossing Schaerbeek	2 - 0	Win
Aug 4, 24	Home	Huldenberg	4 - 0	Win

Sporting Hasselt Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Eendracht Aalst	1 - 4	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Tongeren	0 - 10	Win
Jul 19, 26	Home	Antwerp	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	KV Mechelen	1 - 2	Win
Aug 23, 25	Away	Excelsior Virton	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 17, 25	Home	Hades	7 - 1	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.47% likelihood that both Geel and Sporting Hasselt will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Geel or Sporting Hasselt to win

This prediction indicates that Sporting Hasselt has a 44.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.71 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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