Norwich vs Cambridge United Tuesday 04th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Norwich Cambridge United

Norwich L W D W D W

Cambridge United D W W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Norwich holds a modest quality edge over Cambridge United, but Cambridge come in with strong recent form and a rest advantage, which could help them compete. The model predicts a home win with a 51% probability, suggesting Norwich is slightly favored despite the close contest. There are no available market odds to compare with this prediction. The model also sees a moderate chance that both teams won't score and that the game will stay under 2.5 goals.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cambridge United	Norwich	1 - 3	July 19, 2022

Norwich Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Osasuna	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Fulham	0 - 2	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	AFC Wimbledon	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Away	FC ST. Gallen	0 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Colchester	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	King's Lynn Town	2 - 0	Win

Cambridge United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Northampton	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Away	Preston	0 - 1	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Southend	1 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Cambridge City	1 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Crewe	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Barrow	3 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.6% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Norwich to win

This prediction indicates that Norwich has a 51.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.93 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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