Lorient vs UNFP Tuesday 04th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Lorient UNFP

Lorient W W W L W D

UNFP L L D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Lorient with a 70% probability. Lorient is seen as clearly better in quality, coming off strong recent performances while UNFP has struggled. Lorient also has the benefit of being more rested. The model also suggests a high likelihood of goals, expecting both teams to score and for the match to exceed both 1.5 and 2.5 goals, reflecting Lorient's attacking strength and UNFP's defensive weaknesses. Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model's confidence levels stand on their own.

Lorient Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Guingamp	0 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Nantes	1 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Concarneau	1 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	LE Havre	0 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Metz	0 - 4	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Paris Saint Germain	2 - 2	Draw

UNFP Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	RED Star FC 93	1 - 4	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Away	Dijon	5 - 2	Loss
Aug 6, 25	Away	Paris FC	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 26, 25	Home	Laval	3 - 5	Loss
Jul 23, 25	Away	Fleury 91	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 16, 25	Home	Rouen	1 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.26% likelihood that both Lorient and UNFP will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Lorient to win

This prediction indicates that Lorient has a 69.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.16 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed