Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town Tuesday 04th August 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Harrow Borough Chertsey Town

Harrow Borough L W L D L L

Chertsey Town W W D W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Harrow Borough are coming off poor recent performances, while Chertsey Town have been in strong form and are considered the better side. Chertsey Town's recent attacking displays add to their advantage. The model predicts a 41% chance of Chertsey Town winning, reflecting their edge despite limited past meetings and Harrow Borough's rest advantage. The model also sees a good chance both teams will score and that more than two goals will be scored in the match.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chertsey Town	Harrow Borough	3 - 2	August 2, 2022

Harrow Borough Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 16, 25	Away	Hastings United	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 3, 25	Away	Stansfeld	0 - 4	Win
Aug 20, 24	Away	Ashford United	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 17, 24	Home	Ashford United	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 2, 23	Home	Bracknell Town	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 22, 23	Away	Billericay Town	4 - 2	Loss

Chertsey Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Westfield (Surrey)	4 - 2	Win
Jul 28, 26	Home	Chesham United	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Hampton & Richmond	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Home	Wealdstone	2 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Egham Town	1 - 4	Win
Sep 13, 25	Home	Cray Valley PM	2 - 3	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.8% likelihood that both Harrow Borough and Chertsey Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Harrow Borough or Chertsey Town to win

This prediction indicates that Chertsey Town has a 41.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.66 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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