Eldense vs Villarreal II Tuesday 04th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Eldense Villarreal II

Eldense L W L L L W

Villarreal II L W D W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Eldense with a 40% probability. Despite Eldense's poor recent form, the model sees their historical dominance over Villarreal II as a key factor, even though goals have been scarce in past meetings between the two teams. The model also notes that while Villarreal II have a rest advantage and are moderately in form, the sides are closely matched in overall quality. The market odds suggest a similar level of uncertainty, and the model's confidence in a home win aligns reasonably with what the odds imply.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Villarreal II	Eldense	2 - 0	March 4, 2026
Eldense	Villarreal II	1 - 0	September 6, 2025
Villarreal II	Eldense	0 - 1	August 9, 2024
Eldense	Villarreal II	2 - 0	March 2, 2024
Villarreal II	Eldense	3 - 1	August 21, 2023

Eldense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Real Murcia	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Al-Ettifaq	3 - 1	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	Valencia	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Millwall	1 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Real Murcia	3 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Atlético Madrid II	2 - 1	Win

Villarreal II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Zamora FC	2 - 0	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Zamora FC	2 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Sanluqueño	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Sevilla Atletico	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Europa Fc	3 - 3	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Hércules	1 - 0	Win

Predictions

Eldense to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Eldense has a 40.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.73 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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