Tenerife vs Tamaraceite Tuesday 04th August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Tenerife Tamaraceite

Tenerife D W L W L W

Tamaraceite L L L L D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Tenerife have moderate recent form and have shown strong attacking form, while Tamaraceite have struggled defensively and have poor recent form overall. Despite Tamaraceite having a rest advantage, there is a clear quality gap favoring the home side. The model predicts a home win with a 66% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds imply. The model also leans toward both matches over 1.5 and 2.5 goals, slightly more optimistic about scoring than the market odds suggest.

Tenerife Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Cadiz	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	Marino	0 - 6	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	Getafe	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Tenerife II	3 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Ourense CF	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Pontevedra	3 - 0	Win

Tamaraceite Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 10, 23	Home	UD San Fernando	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 6, 22	Away	Las Palmas	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 6, 21	Away	Las Palmas	3 - 0	Loss
Jan 11, 20	Home	Granada CF	0 - 1	Loss
Dec 19, 19	Home	Almeria	2 - 2	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Tenerife to win

This prediction indicates that Tenerife has a 65.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.41 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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