Newport County vs AS Roma Tuesday 04th August 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Newport County AS Roma

Newport County W L D D L W

AS Roma L D W W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Newport County have had poor recent form, while AS Roma arrive with strong recent form and a clear quality gap in their favor. The model predicts an away win with a 77% probability, showing much more confidence in AS Roma than the market odds suggest. AS Roma's recent strong attacking form also supports the model's view that the game will see more than 1.5 and more than 2.5 goals overall.

Newport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Yeovil Town	1 - 2	Win
Jul 28, 26	Home	Reading	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Bath City	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Away	Bristol City	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Gloucester City	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Away	Newport City	0 - 5	Win

AS Roma Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Cardiff	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Cannes	3 - 3	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Verona	0 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Lazio	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Parma	2 - 3	Win
May 4, 26	Home	Fiorentina	4 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

AS Roma to win

This prediction indicates that AS Roma has a 76.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 11.24 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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