Stoke City vs Valencia Saturday 01st August 2026 08:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Stoke City Valencia

Stoke City W W D L L L

Valencia W L W L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Valencia enter as the stronger side on paper, which explains why the model gives them a slight edge in the match outcome, though Stoke remain competitive at home. Despite the quality gap, both teams are in comparable form recently and have similar rest, suggesting a competitive game rather than a rout—hence the model leans toward goals at both ends and a relatively open match. The prediction flags over 1.5 goals as the most confident lean, reflecting expectations for an entertaining friendly with chances for both sides.

Stoke City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Everton	1 - 0	Win
Jul 21, 26	Away	Chester	0 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Crewe	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Home	SC Braga	0 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Bristol City	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Portsmouth	1 - 3	Loss

Valencia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Derby	1 - 2	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Castellón	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Home	Eldense	3 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Petro de Luanda	3 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Barcelona	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Real Sociedad	3 - 4	Win

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Stoke City to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Stoke City has a 36.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.40 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Stoke City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Valencia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Predictions

Stoke City to win or Draw

Over 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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