Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Saturday 01st August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Real Madrid Fiorentina

Real Madrid W W W W L W

Fiorentina W L W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Real Madrid start as favorites given their superior squad quality, though Fiorentina's strong recent form keeps this competitive rather than one-sided. Both teams are coming into the match in good shape and similarly rested, which combined with Real Madrid's recent attacking prowess suggests an open, high-scoring friendly—the model sees over 2.5 goals as more likely than under, and backs both sides to find the net. The prediction leans toward a Real Madrid win but doesn't rule out Fiorentina scoring, reflecting a match that should be entertaining rather than defensive.

Real Madrid Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Leganes	4 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Athletic Club	4 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Sevilla	0 - 1	Win
May 14, 26	Home	Oviedo	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Barcelona	2 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Espanyol	0 - 2	Win

Fiorentina Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Away	Watford	0 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	QPR	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Home	Gubbio	1 - 0	Win
Jul 19, 26	Home	Fiorentina U20	8 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Atalanta	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Juventus	0 - 2	Win

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.77% likelihood that both Real Madrid and Fiorentina will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Real Madrid to win

This prediction indicates that Real Madrid has a 53.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.01 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Real Madrid Form (Last 6 Matches)

Fiorentina Form (Last 6 Matches)

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Real Madrid to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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