Chelsea vs Tottenham Saturday 01st August 2026 12:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Chelsea Tottenham

Chelsea W L W L D L

Tottenham D W W W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Chelsea edge this matchup as the slight favorites given their modest quality advantage and dominance in recent head-to-head meetings, though Tottenham's strong recent form keeps it competitive. Both teams' attacking capabilities suggest a relatively open game—the model expects over 2.5 goals with high confidence and sees both sides likely to find the net. The comparable rest levels between the teams support an entertaining, attacking encounter rather than a cautious setup.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chelsea	Tottenham	2 - 1	May 19, 2026
Tottenham	Chelsea	0 - 1	November 1, 2025
Chelsea	Tottenham	1 - 0	April 3, 2025
Tottenham	Chelsea	3 - 4	December 8, 2024
Chelsea	Tottenham	2 - 0	May 2, 2024
Tottenham	Chelsea	1 - 4	November 6, 2023

Chelsea Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Western Sydney Wanderers	6 - 4	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Sunderland	2 - 1	Loss
May 19, 26	Home	Tottenham	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Manchester City	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Liverpool	1 - 1	Draw
May 4, 26	Home	Nottingham Forest	1 - 3	Loss

Tottenham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Sydney	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	Auckland	0 - 2	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	Dons	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Everton	1 - 0	Win
May 19, 26	Away	Chelsea	2 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Home	Leeds	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.25% likelihood that both Chelsea and Tottenham will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Chelsea to win

This prediction indicates that Chelsea has a 49.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.80 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Chelsea Form (Last 6 Matches)

Tottenham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Chelsea to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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