Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Gimnástica Segoviana
Valladolid
Gimnástica Segoviana
D
D
W
D
D
L
Valladolid
L
W
D
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Valladolid with a 50% probability. Despite Valladolid's poor recent form, the model sees a clear quality gap favoring them over Gimnástica Segoviana. The market odds also suggest a strong favor for Valladolid, aligning with the model's view. Additionally, while both teams have defensive issues, Valladolid's recent creation of more shooting chances supports the model's prediction of an away win.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Segoviana | Valladolid | 2 - 5 | July 23, 2024 |
Gimnástica Segoviana Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 25 | Away | Zamora | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 25 | Home | Gimnastic | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 11, 25 | Away | Sestao River | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 2, 25 | Home | Real Sociedad II | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 27, 25 | Home | Barakaldo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 20, 25 | Away | FC Andorra | 5 - 1 | Loss |
Valladolid Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Groningen | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | CD Coria | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Getafe | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Almeria | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Deportivo La Coruna | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Racing Santander | 4 - 1 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Valladolid to win
This prediction indicates that Valladolid has a 49.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.23 %Most Likely Scorelines
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