Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Napoli
Osasuna
Napoli
W
L
W
W
L
D
Osasuna
W
W
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Napoli and Osasuna both have moderate recent form coming into this match. However, Napoli has a clear quality gap in their favor and also benefits from a notable rest advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 56% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of more than one goal being scored, with a 65% probability for 'over' on the 1.5 goals line — a view that aligns with the heavily favored 'over' direction in the market odds.
Napoli Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Carrarese | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Arezzo | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Udinese | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Pisa | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 11, 26 | Home | Bologna | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Away | como | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Osasuna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Norwich | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Ipswich | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Racing Santander | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Getafe | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Espanyol | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 12, 26 | Home | Atletico Madrid | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.82% likelihood that both Napoli and Osasuna will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Napoli to win
This prediction indicates that Napoli has a 56.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.29 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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