Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Mallorca
Paris Saint Germain
Mallorca
W
W
W
L
L
D
Paris Saint Germain
D
L
W
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Paris Saint-Germain holds a clear quality advantage over Mallorca, which suggests they are likely to control the game. Despite both teams showing moderate recent form, PSG's extra rest time and their strong recent attacking performances indicate they could capitalise on their opportunities. The model predicts an away win with a 48% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to exceed 1.5 goals, aligning closely with the market’s strong favouring of these outcomes.
Mallorca Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Al-Ittihad FC | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Al-Fateh | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Oviedo | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Levante | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Getafe | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Villarreal | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Paris Saint Germain Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Home | Arsenal | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Paris FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Lens | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Stade Brestois 29 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 6, 26 | Away | Bayern München | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Lorient | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.13% likelihood that both Mallorca and Paris Saint Germain will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Paris Saint Germain to win
This prediction indicates that Paris Saint Germain has a 48.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.44 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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