Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Cremonese
FC Obermais
Cremonese
D
D
W
L
W
W
FC Obermais
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Cremonese is seen as the stronger side in this match, with a clear quality gap in their favor and better recent form compared to FC Obermais. Despite FC Obermais having a rest advantage and recent defensive issues, the model predicts a home win with a 64% probability. The model also suggests a higher likelihood of more than two goals being scored, with a 65% chance for 'over 2.5 goals', indicating a view that aligns with the possibility of a more open, higher-scoring game.
Cremonese Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Lumezzane | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Cittadella | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Giana Erminio | 4 - 0 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | como | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Udinese | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Pisa | 3 - 0 | Win |
FC Obermais Form (Last 1 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 21 | Away | Torino | 11 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cremonese to win
This prediction indicates that Cremonese has a 63.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.66 %Most Likely Scorelines
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