Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Catanzaro
Giugliano
Catanzaro
W
W
L
L
W
W
Giugliano
D
D
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Catanzaro with a 65% probability. The prediction leans towards Catanzaro due to the clear quality gap favoring the home side, despite both teams showing moderate recent form. Giugliano's rest advantage is noted but does not outweigh Catanzaro's superior quality. The model also suggests there's a 54% chance both teams will score and a 58% chance the match will exceed 2.5 goals, indicating an expectation of a higher-scoring game overall.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giugliano | Catanzaro | 0 - 4 | April 2, 2023 |
| Catanzaro | Giugliano | 3 - 0 | November 30, 2022 |
Catanzaro Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Paradiso | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Monza | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Monza | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Palermo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Palermo | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 12, 26 | Home | Avellino | 3 - 0 | Win |
Giugliano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Casertana | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 19, 26 | Home | Benevento | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 12, 26 | Away | Team Altamura | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 6, 26 | Home | Crotone | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Mar 29, 26 | Away | Casarano | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Mar 22, 26 | Away | Audace Cerignola | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Catanzaro to win
This prediction indicates that Catanzaro has a 64.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.79 %Most Likely Scorelines
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