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Friendlies Clubs
Prato logo Prato
Aug. 5, 2026 2 hours from now VS
Empoli logo Empoli

Match Analysis

Prato Empoli
Prato L D D W L D
Empoli D W D W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Prato have had poor recent form and defensive struggles, while Empoli have been more consistent and possess a clear quality advantage. Despite Prato's rest advantage, the model predicts Empoli will win with a 50% probability, suggesting the quality gap outweighs the home side's recent struggles and rest benefit. The model also leans toward fewer goals overall, with predictions favoring both teams not scoring and totals under 1.5 or 2.5 goals.

Prato Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Apr 28, 18 Away Pontedera 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 21, 18 Home Arezzo 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 14, 18 Away Olbia 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 7, 18 Home Giana Erminio 3 - 2 Win
Apr 3, 18 Away Monza 2 - 1 Loss
Mar 30, 18 Away Arzachena 1 - 1 Draw

Empoli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Spezia 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Virtus Entella 1 - 0 Win
May 8, 26 Away Monza 2 - 2 Draw
May 1, 26 Home Avellino 1 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Venezia 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Home Virtus Entella 1 - 1 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.53% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Empoli to win
This prediction indicates that Empoli has a 49.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.41 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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