Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Lazio
Ostia Mare
Lazio
W
W
W
W
L
L
Ostia Mare
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts Lazio will win with a 78% probability. The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Lazio, along with strong recent form for Lazio and poor recent form for Ostia Mare, supporting the predicted home win. Although Ostia Mare have a rest advantage and have shown defensive struggles recently, the market odds for the home win (1.02) suggest very high confidence in Lazio, which aligns closely with the model's strong leaning toward a Lazio victory.
Lazio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Ascoli | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Avellino | 6 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Flaminia | 6 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Pisa | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | AS Roma | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Inter | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Ostia Mare Form (Last 1 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Benevento | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Lazio to win
This prediction indicates that Lazio has a 77.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 11.81 %Most Likely Scorelines
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