Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Excelsior Virton
Strasbourg II
Excelsior Virton
D
D
W
W
L
L
Strasbourg II
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match features Strasbourg II, who hold a modest quality edge over Excelsior Virton, but Excelsior Virton have shown moderate recent form, while Strasbourg II have been in poor recent form. Despite Strasbourg II having a rest advantage and displaying strong attacking form recently, the model predicts a home win with a 37% probability. The model also leans toward both teams scoring and toward there being more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the game, though no market odds are available to compare against.
Excelsior Virton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Rochefort | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Progres Niederkorn | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | US Hostert | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Atert Bissen | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | RAAL La Louvière | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | F91 Dudelange | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Strasbourg II Form (Last 1 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 25 | Away | Freiburg II | 0 - 4 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.96% likelihood that both Excelsior Virton and Strasbourg II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Excelsior Virton to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Excelsior Virton has a 37.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.43 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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