Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
AC Milan
Inter
AC Milan
D
L
W
L
L
D
Inter
D
W
D
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
AC Milan are coming into this match with poor recent form, while Inter have been moderately consistent. Despite Inter having a clear quality gap in their favor and showing strong attacking form recently, AC Milan have historically dominated this fixture and have a rest advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 36% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds suggest. The model also leans towards 'Over 1.5 goals' with a 65% probability, aligning closely with the market’s strong implication of a high-scoring game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | Inter | 1 - 0 | March 8, 2026 |
| Inter | AC Milan | 0 - 1 | November 23, 2025 |
| Inter | AC Milan | 0 - 3 | April 23, 2025 |
| AC Milan | Inter | 1 - 1 | April 2, 2025 |
| AC Milan | Inter | 1 - 1 | February 2, 2025 |
| Inter | AC Milan | 1 - 2 | September 22, 2024 |
AC Milan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Celtic | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Cagliari | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Genoa | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Atalanta | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Sassuolo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Juventus | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Inter Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Manchester City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Karlsruher SC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Bologna | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Verona | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Lazio | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Lazio | 0 - 3 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.82% likelihood that both AC Milan and Inter will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.AC Milan to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that AC Milan has a 36.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.77 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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