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Friendlies Clubs
Sassuolo logo Sassuolo
Aug. 5, 2026 2 hours from now VS
Celta Vigo logo Celta Vigo

Match Analysis

Sassuolo Celta Vigo
Sassuolo D L D W L L
Celta Vigo D W D W D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Sassuolo with a 36% probability, which is notably lower than what the market odds suggest for the home side. Despite Celta Vigo having a clear quality advantage and coming in with better recent form and a rest edge, the model sees enough uncertainty to keep the home win probability relatively low. The model also leans toward a lively match, predicting both teams to score (57%) and that there will be over 1.5 goals (59%), which aligns with the very favorable market odds for this outcome, marking it as a sure tip. Overall, while Celta Vigo are favored, the model's outlook balances this with Sassuolo's home conditions and the even recent shot volume between the sides.

Sassuolo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 31, 26 Home Folgore Caratese 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Trento 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Parma 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Home Padova 4 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away Parma 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Lecce 2 - 3 Loss

Celta Vigo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Home Academico Viseu 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Sporting Gijon 1 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away SC Braga 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Sevilla 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Athletic Club 1 - 1 Draw
May 12, 26 Home Levante 2 - 3 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.57% likelihood that both Sassuolo and Celta Vigo will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Sassuolo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sassuolo has a 36.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.56 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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