Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Hastings United
Sutton Utd
Hastings United
D
W
L
L
L
L
Sutton Utd
W
W
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Hastings United have had poor recent form and are dealing with defensive struggles, while Sutton Utd arrive with strong recent form. Despite the two sides being closely matched in overall quality and having similar rest, the model predicts a home win with a 43% probability. The model also sees a 54% chance that both teams will score, aligning with Hastings' defensive issues, and predicts a slight edge toward over 1.5 goals but under 2.5 goals.
Hastings United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Hashtag United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Eastbourne United | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Concord Rangers | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Roffey | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Lewes | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 2, 25 | Home | Faversham Town | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Sutton Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Southampton U21 | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Folkestone Invicta | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Horsham | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Walton & Hersham | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | AFC Wimbledon | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Tonbridge Angels | 0 - 2 | Win |
Predictions
Hastings United to win
This prediction indicates that Hastings United has a 43.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.64 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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