Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Cesena
Vis Pesaro
Cesena
W
W
L
D
D
L
Vis Pesaro
L
L
D
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Cesena with a 63% probability. The model sees Cesena as clearly stronger, with moderate recent form compared to Vis Pesaro's poor form, and notes that Cesena has dominated their past encounters. The market odds also suggest Cesena is favored, but they imply slightly less confidence than the model does. Additionally, the model expects over 1.5 goals to be scored, with a 63% probability, which aligns with the very favorable market odds for this outcome.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vis Pesaro | Cesena | 0 - 2 | March 17, 2024 |
| Cesena | Vis Pesaro | 4 - 0 | November 12, 2023 |
| Cesena | Vis Pesaro | 2 - 0 | April 15, 2023 |
| Vis Pesaro | Cesena | 1 - 2 | December 10, 2022 |
| Cesena | Vis Pesaro | 2 - 1 | February 20, 2022 |
| Vis Pesaro | Cesena | 1 - 1 | October 16, 2021 |
Cesena Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Fossombrone | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Athletic Carpi | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Home | Padova | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| May 1, 26 | Away | Carrarese | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Sampdoria | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Palermo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Vis Pesaro Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Benevento | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Venezia | 8 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Juventus U23 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Sambenedettese | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Ravenna | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 12, 26 | Home | Athletic Carpi | 3 - 0 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.79% likelihood that both Cesena and Vis Pesaro will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Cesena to win
This prediction indicates that Cesena has a 62.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.45 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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