Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Cieza
Real Murcia
Cieza
L
W
L
D
Real Murcia
W
L
W
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Cieza are coming into this match in poor recent form, while Real Murcia have shown more consistent performance recently. Despite this, Real Murcia only hold a modest quality edge over their opponents. The model predicts a home win with a 35% probability, reflecting Cieza's rest advantage but also acknowledging their recent struggles. There are no available market odds to compare this prediction against.
Cieza Form (Last 4 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 25 | Home | Levante | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 29, 25 | Home | Cordoba | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 20, 23 | Away | Ucam Murcia | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 22 | Home | Yeclano | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Real Murcia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Eldense | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Port Vale | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Eldense | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Juventud Torremolinos | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Real Betis II | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Sabadell | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cieza to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Cieza has a 34.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.84 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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