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Friendlies Clubs
Cultural Leonesa logo Cultural Leonesa
Aug. 5, 2026 42 minutes from now VS
Real Avilés logo Real Avilés

Match Analysis

Cultural Leonesa Real Avilés
Cultural Leonesa L D L W L D
Real Avilés D L D D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Cultural Leonesa and Real Avilés are showing poor recent form, making this a tricky matchup. However, Cultural Leonesa has a clear quality gap in their favor. The model predicts a home win with a 55% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply. The model also sees a good chance of ‘over 1.5 goals’ happening, with a 53% probability, aligning closely with the market’s strong preference for this outcome.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Real Avilés Cultural Leonesa 0 - 1 August 7, 2024
Real Avilés Cultural Leonesa 0 - 4 August 20, 2021

Cultural Leonesa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Athletic Club II 2 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Real Sociedad II 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Burgos 0 - 2 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Eibar 2 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Albacete 2 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Cadiz 2 - 2 Draw

Real Avilés Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Ponferradina 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 29, 26 Away Marino de Luanco 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Real Oviedo II 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Pontevedra 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Barakaldo 1 - 4 Loss
May 9, 26 Away Ponferradina 3 - 1 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.57% likelihood that both Cultural Leonesa and Real Avilés will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Cultural Leonesa to win
This prediction indicates that Cultural Leonesa has a 54.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.52 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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