MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes II
LA Galaxy II
San Jose Earthquakes II
L
W
L
D
L
D
LA Galaxy II
D
W
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for San Jose Earthquakes II with a 51% probability. Despite San Jose's poor recent form, the model notes their historical dominance in recent meetings and their strong attacking form, which helps boost their chances. The market odds also suggest a relatively close contest, with the home side priced slightly favored, aligning somewhat with the model's view. Additionally, the model sees a high likelihood (62%) that both teams will score, and it expects more than 1.5 goals (65% probability), reflecting the tendency of these teams to produce goal-filled games.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Galaxy II | San Jose Earthquakes II | 3 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| LA Galaxy II | San Jose Earthquakes II | 1 - 3 | May 2, 2026 |
| LA Galaxy II | San Jose Earthquakes II | 0 - 4 | September 22, 2025 |
| San Jose Earthquakes II | LA Galaxy II | 4 - 1 | August 16, 2025 |
| San Jose Earthquakes II | LA Galaxy II | 1 - 1 | June 30, 2025 |
| LA Galaxy II | San Jose Earthquakes II | 0 - 4 | July 29, 2024 |
San Jose Earthquakes II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Tacoma Defiance | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Los Angeles II | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Austin II | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo FC II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | St. Louis City II | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Minnesota United II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
LA Galaxy II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Los Angeles II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids II | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo FC II | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | North Texas | 6 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes II | 3 - 0 | Win |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | LA Galaxy II | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 33 | +18 | 43 |
| 22 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 33 | +11 | 33 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.88% likelihood that both San Jose Earthquakes II and LA Galaxy II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.San Jose Earthquakes II to win
This prediction indicates that San Jose Earthquakes II has a 51.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.38 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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