MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
Chicago Fire
Chattanooga
Chicago Fire
L
L
D
D
L
L
Chattanooga
W
W
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Chattanooga with a 45% probability, which is slightly less confident than what the market odds imply. The model also sees a strong chance that both teams will score (66%) and that there will be more than one goal in the match (66%), aligning with the market's strong tilt toward an over 1.5 goals outcome. This view is shaped by Chattanooga's modest quality edge and stronger recent form compared to Chicago Fire's poor recent form, despite the limited head-to-head history and similar rest for both sides.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga | Chicago Fire | 2 - 2 | June 27, 2026 |
| Chicago Fire | Chattanooga | 2 - 1 | March 15, 2026 |
Chicago Fire Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | New England Revolution | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Bethlehem Steel | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | Inter Miami | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Toronto FC | 4 - 4 | Draw |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Crown Legacy | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew II | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Chattanooga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Atlanta United II | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Away | Huntsville City | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Carolina Core | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Crown Legacy | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Toronto II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Atlanta United II | 1 - 0 | Win |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chattanooga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 39 | +16 | 49 |
| 22 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 36 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.98% likelihood that both Chicago Fire and Chattanooga will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Chattanooga to win
This prediction indicates that Chattanooga has a 45.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.88 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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