MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
Orlando City II
Atlanta United II
Orlando City II
W
W
W
L
L
L
Atlanta United II
L
W
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Atlanta United II with a 52% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds suggest. The model sees Atlanta United II as having a modest quality edge and stronger recent form compared to Orlando City II. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score (67% probability) and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals (72% probability) and more than 2.5 goals (73% probability), views that align with the market odds, especially for the over/under markets.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United II | Orlando City II | 5 - 1 | August 22, 2026 |
| Atlanta United II | Orlando City II | 0 - 2 | May 10, 2026 |
| Orlando City II | Atlanta United II | 2 - 1 | August 23, 2025 |
| Atlanta United II | Orlando City II | 3 - 0 | May 25, 2025 |
| Orlando City II | Atlanta United II | 2 - 2 | March 16, 2025 |
| Atlanta United II | Orlando City II | 1 - 4 | August 23, 2024 |
Orlando City II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Toronto II | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Fort Lauderdale CF | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Crown Legacy | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Atlanta United II | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Chicago Fire | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 11, 26 | Away | New York City II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Atlanta United II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Chattanooga | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Connecticut FC | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Fort Lauderdale CF | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Orlando City II | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | New York RB II | 1 - 2 | Loss |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 58 | 44 | +14 | 44 |
| 15 | Orlando City II | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 40 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.36% likelihood that both Orlando City II and Atlanta United II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Atlanta United II to win
This prediction indicates that Atlanta United II has a 52.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.85 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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