MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
Toronto II
New England II
Toronto II
L
W
W
W
L
D
New England II
D
D
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts that New England II will win with a 48% probability. Despite their recent poor form, New England II has a modest quality edge and has dominated recent meetings against Toronto II, often with many goals scored. The market odds suggest a strong favorite for New England II, aligning closely with the model's view. Additionally, the model believes both teams are likely to score, with a 61% probability, reflecting the history of goal-filled encounters between these sides.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto II | New England II | 1 - 3 | June 28, 2026 |
| New England II | Toronto II | 0 - 0 | March 8, 2026 |
| New England II | Toronto II | 2 - 1 | September 12, 2025 |
| Toronto II | New England II | 3 - 3 | May 4, 2025 |
| New England II | Toronto II | 4 - 0 | March 28, 2025 |
| New England II | Toronto II | 2 - 2 | September 8, 2024 |
Toronto II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Orlando City II | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Columbus Crew II | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | FC Cincinnati II | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | New York City II | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | New York RB II | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Chattanooga | 2 - 2 | Draw |
New England II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Carolina Core | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Huntsville City | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | New York City II | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Fort Lauderdale CF | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Bethlehem Steel | 3 - 4 | Loss |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | New England II | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 41 | +3 | 41 |
| 20 | Toronto II | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 37 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.37% likelihood that both Toronto II and New England II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.New England II to win
This prediction indicates that New England II has a 47.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.65 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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