Premier League
Match Analysis
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Bournemouth
W
D
W
D
D
L
Liverpool
W
D
W
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Liverpool has had the upper hand in meetings between these two teams, often producing games full of goals. The model predicts an away win with a 46% probability and also expects both teams to score, with a 61% probability for that outcome. Liverpool's stronger recent form and rest advantage support the prediction, though the teams are seen as closely matched overall. The market odds show slightly less confidence in an away win and both teams scoring than the model's prediction suggests.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Liverpool | 3 - 2 | January 24, 2026 |
| Liverpool | Bournemouth | 4 - 2 | August 15, 2025 |
| Bournemouth | Liverpool | 0 - 2 | February 1, 2025 |
| Liverpool | Bournemouth | 3 - 0 | September 21, 2024 |
| Bournemouth | Liverpool | 0 - 4 | January 21, 2024 |
| Bournemouth | Liverpool | 1 - 2 | November 1, 2023 |
Bournemouth Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Away | Real Sociedad | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Brentford | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Lincoln | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Newcastle | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Everton | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Manchester City | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Liverpool Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Tottenham | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Fulham | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 9, 26 | Home | Atletico Madrid | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Ipswich | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Nottingham Forest | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Newcastle | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.37% likelihood that both Bournemouth and Liverpool will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Liverpool to win
This prediction indicates that Liverpool has a 45.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.26 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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