MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
FC Cincinnati II
Crown Legacy
FC Cincinnati II
D
L
L
W
L
L
Crown Legacy
D
W
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Crown Legacy with a 54% probability, suggesting they are the stronger side despite the market odds favoring them even more strongly. The model also sees a high chance that both teams will score (62%) and that there will be more than 1.5 goals (72%), aligning with the market's strong tilt toward a high-scoring game. This outlook is shaped by Crown Legacy's clear quality advantage and their history of dominant, high-scoring matches against FC Cincinnati II, even though both teams have had similar rest time. The model's confidence in an away win and a lively match mirrors the market's general direction but with slightly less enthusiasm for an away victory.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati II | Crown Legacy | 4 - 3 | August 11, 2025 |
| Crown Legacy | FC Cincinnati II | 2 - 0 | May 25, 2025 |
| FC Cincinnati II | Crown Legacy | 1 - 2 | October 20, 2024 |
| FC Cincinnati II | Crown Legacy | 2 - 1 | May 4, 2024 |
| FC Cincinnati II | Crown Legacy | 0 - 1 | July 29, 2023 |
| Crown Legacy | FC Cincinnati II | 2 - 1 | March 31, 2023 |
FC Cincinnati II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | New York RB II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Toronto II | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Bethlehem Steel | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Carolina Core | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | New York City II | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Connecticut FC | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Crown Legacy Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Carolina Core | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Orlando City II | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Chattanooga | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Connecticut FC | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Huntsville City | 2 - 2 | Draw |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Crown Legacy | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 65 | 38 | +27 | 50 |
| 28 | FC Cincinnati II | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 18 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.11% likelihood that both FC Cincinnati II and Crown Legacy will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Crown Legacy to win
This prediction indicates that Crown Legacy has a 54.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.36 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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