Premier League
Match Analysis
Fulham
Manchester United
Fulham
W
D
L
L
W
L
Manchester United
L
L
W
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Manchester United with a 48% probability, which is slightly less confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also suggests there's a 60% chance both teams will score, aligning with the market view that this outcome is likely. Manchester United’s modest quality edge and their dominance in recent meetings support the prediction, despite both teams showing moderate recent form and similar rest periods. Additionally, the model expects more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the match, indicating an open, attacking game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Fulham | 3 - 2 | February 1, 2026 |
| Fulham | Manchester United | 1 - 1 | August 24, 2025 |
| Manchester United | Fulham | 1 - 1 | March 2, 2025 |
| Fulham | Manchester United | 0 - 1 | January 26, 2025 |
| Manchester United | Fulham | 1 - 0 | August 16, 2024 |
| Manchester United | Fulham | 1 - 2 | February 24, 2024 |
Fulham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | West Ham | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Liverpool | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Crystal Palace | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Sunderland | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | AFC Wimbledon | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Chelsea | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Manchester United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Home | Brighton | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Manchester City | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | Sabah FA | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Everton | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Ipswich | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Hull City | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.02% likelihood that both Fulham and Manchester United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Manchester United to win
This prediction indicates that Manchester United has a 48.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.70 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments