Serie A
Match Analysis
Juventus
Atalanta
Juventus
W
L
D
W
W
W
Atalanta
L
L
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Juventus has a modest quality edge over Atalanta, and they are in stronger recent form, despite Atalanta having a notable rest advantage. The model predicts Juventus will win with a 59% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model suggests there is a 51% chance of more than 1.5 goals being scored, slightly more confident than the market odds indicate. Recent meetings between the teams have been fairly even, but Juventus' strong attacking form recently tips the balance in their favor for this match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | Juventus | 0 - 1 | April 11, 2026 |
| Atalanta | Juventus | 3 - 0 | February 5, 2026 |
| Juventus | Atalanta | 1 - 1 | September 27, 2025 |
| Atalanta | Juventus | 1 - 2 | August 16, 2025 |
| Juventus | Atalanta | 0 - 4 | March 9, 2025 |
| Atalanta | Juventus | 1 - 1 | January 14, 2025 |
Juventus Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Home | NEC Nijmegen | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Sassuolo | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | AC Milan | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Parma | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Frosinone | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Palermo | 2 - 0 | Win |
Atalanta Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Cagliari | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | AS Roma | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Bologna | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Sassuolo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.48% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Juventus to win
This prediction indicates that Juventus has a 58.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.83 %Most Likely Scorelines
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