MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
Columbus Crew II
Carolina Core
Columbus Crew II
D
L
L
W
L
W
Carolina Core
D
D
L
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Columbus Crew II and Carolina Core are coming into this match with poor recent form, making it a tough contest to call. Despite this, Columbus Crew II does have a modest quality edge over their opponents. The model predicts a home win with a 50% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds suggest. The model also sees a strong chance that both teams will score, with a 63% probability, aligning with the market’s view that this outcome is likely.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew II | Carolina Core | 1 - 0 | June 28, 2025 |
| Columbus Crew II | Carolina Core | 0 - 2 | September 22, 2024 |
Columbus Crew II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | New England II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Toronto II | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Bethlehem Steel | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Huntsville City | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | New York City II | 4 - 2 | Win |
Carolina Core Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Crown Legacy | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | New England II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Chattanooga | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | FC Cincinnati II | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Huntsville City | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Atlanta United II | 3 - 3 | Draw |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Columbus Crew II | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 42 | +6 | 42 |
| 24 | Carolina Core | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.06% likelihood that both Columbus Crew II and Carolina Core will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Columbus Crew II to win
This prediction indicates that Columbus Crew II has a 50.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.57 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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