MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
Portland Timbers II
St. Louis City II
Portland Timbers II
D
W
D
W
D
W
St. Louis City II
W
D
D
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, St. Louis City II has had the upper hand in recent games against Portland Timbers II, often producing matches full of goals. The model predicts an away win with a 38% probability, which aligns closely with the market odds that see the two sides as near-equals. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals, with probabilities of 57% and 59% respectively—views that are stronger than what the current odds imply, especially for exceeding 1.5 goals. Overall, the match looks set to be competitive and high-scoring.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City II | Portland Timbers II | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| Portland Timbers II | St. Louis City II | 2 - 1 | October 5, 2025 |
| St. Louis City II | Portland Timbers II | 6 - 3 | May 24, 2025 |
| St. Louis City II | Portland Timbers II | 1 - 1 | April 7, 2024 |
| St. Louis City II | Portland Timbers II | 4 - 1 | August 19, 2023 |
| Portland Timbers II | St. Louis City II | 1 - 2 | May 26, 2023 |
Portland Timbers II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 26 | Home | Whitecaps II | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Austin II | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | LA Galaxy II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | North Texas | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Los Angeles II | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Minnesota United II | 1 - 2 | Win |
St. Louis City II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Swope Park Rangers | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | North Texas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo FC II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | San Jose Earthquakes II | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids II | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Real Monarchs | 3 - 0 | Win |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 27 | +8 | 50 |
| 15 | St. Louis City II | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 37 | +4 | 39 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.04% likelihood that both Portland Timbers II and St. Louis City II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Portland Timbers II or St. Louis City II to win
This prediction indicates that St. Louis City II has a 38.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.82 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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