Ettan - Norra
Match Analysis
Vasalund
Hammarby Talang
Vasalund
L
L
L
W
D
W
Hammarby Talang
W
L
D
D
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Vasalund and Hammarby Talang have had rough recent form, making this a tricky matchup. However, Hammarby Talang are seen as the clearly better side in quality terms, and they've been in strong attacking form lately. The model predicts an away win with a 55% chance, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward plenty of goals, predicting 'over' for both the 1.5 and 2.5 goal lines, and that both teams will score.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby Talang | Vasalund | 2 - 2 | April 27, 2026 |
| Vasalund | Hammarby Talang | 1 - 1 | March 1, 2026 |
| Vasalund | Hammarby Talang | 1 - 1 | August 4, 2025 |
| Hammarby Talang | Vasalund | 3 - 2 | June 1, 2025 |
| Vasalund | Hammarby Talang | 3 - 0 | September 9, 2024 |
| Hammarby Talang | Vasalund | 1 - 1 | June 15, 2024 |
Vasalund Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | FBK Karlstad | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Enköping | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Umeå FC | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Stocksund | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Piteå | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Stockholm Internazionale | 2 - 0 | Win |
Hammarby Talang Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Sollentuna | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Stockholm Internazionale | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Karlberg | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Piteå | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | AFC Eskilstuna | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | FBK Karlstad | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Ettan - Norra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby Talang | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 18 | +28 | 41 |
| 12 | Vasalund | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 23 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.83% likelihood that both Vasalund and Hammarby Talang will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Hammarby Talang to win
This prediction indicates that Hammarby Talang has a 55.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.85 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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