Ettan - Norra
Match Analysis
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
Karlberg
L
W
L
D
L
W
Stockholm Internazionale
W
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Stockholm Internazionale with a 66% probability. This outlook aligns with the clear quality gap favoring the away side, as well as their strong recent form compared to Karlberg's poor form. Additionally, Stockholm Internazionale has a history of dominating recent meetings and has shown strong attacking form, which supports the prediction of an away victory. The market odds also reflect confidence in an away win, though the model appears slightly more optimistic than what the odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stockholm Internazionale | Karlberg | 2 - 1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Stockholm Internazionale | Karlberg | 1 - 0 | March 28, 2026 |
| Stockholm Internazionale | Karlberg | 3 - 1 | August 16, 2025 |
| Karlberg | Stockholm Internazionale | 0 - 0 | June 15, 2025 |
| Karlberg | Stockholm Internazionale | 3 - 2 | August 17, 2024 |
| Stockholm Internazionale | Karlberg | 2 - 1 | April 13, 2024 |
Karlberg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Away | Järfälla | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Arlanda | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Piteå | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Hammarby Talang | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | AFC Eskilstuna | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Stocksund | 2 - 0 | Win |
Stockholm Internazionale Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Home | Stocksund | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Umeå FC | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Hammarby Talang | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Enköping | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Järfälla | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Arlanda | 4 - 1 | Win |
Ettan - Norra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockholm Internazionale | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 19 | +34 | 48 |
| 9 | Karlberg | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.45% likelihood that both Karlberg and Stockholm Internazionale will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Stockholm Internazionale to win
This prediction indicates that Stockholm Internazionale has a 66.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.52 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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