Ettan - Norra
Match Analysis
AFC Eskilstuna
gefle IF
AFC Eskilstuna
W
W
W
W
W
W
gefle IF
L
W
L
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts that AFC Eskilstuna will win with a 53% probability. It also suggests there's a 59% chance both teams will score, and it favors more than one goal (over 1.5) and more than two goals (over 2.5) being scored, each with a 61% probability. The model leans toward a home win due to a clear quality gap favoring AFC Eskilstuna and their stronger recent form compared to Gefle IF. The market odds roughly reflect the model’s view on the home win and goal totals, showing similar confidence levels.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| gefle IF | AFC Eskilstuna | 4 - 3 | April 11, 2026 |
| AFC Eskilstuna | gefle IF | 2 - 0 | September 13, 2025 |
| gefle IF | AFC Eskilstuna | 2 - 2 | May 10, 2025 |
| AFC Eskilstuna | gefle IF | 2 - 1 | August 28, 2023 |
| gefle IF | AFC Eskilstuna | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2023 |
| gefle IF | AFC Eskilstuna | 1 - 2 | February 18, 2023 |
AFC Eskilstuna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Away | Assyriska FF | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Piteå | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | IF Karlstad | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Sollentuna | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Karlberg | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Hammarby Talang | 1 - 0 | Win |
gefle IF Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Home | Arlanda | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Järfälla | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Sollentuna | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | IF Karlstad | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Assyriska FF | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Umeå FC | 2 - 0 | Win |
Ettan - Norra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AFC Eskilstuna | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 29 | +12 | 43 |
| 10 | gefle IF | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.86% likelihood that both AFC Eskilstuna and gefle IF will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.AFC Eskilstuna to win
This prediction indicates that AFC Eskilstuna has a 53.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.64 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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