Ettan - Norra
Match Analysis
Stocksund
Umeå FC
Stocksund
L
W
L
L
L
L
Umeå FC
W
L
W
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Umeå FC with a 37% probability. Umeå FC has a modest quality edge and strong recent form, while Stocksund is coming off poor recent form. The model also sees a high chance (60%) that both teams will score and that there will be more than 1.5 goals (63% over), suggesting an open, goal-oriented game, which aligns with recent meetings that featured plenty of goals. Since there are no market odds provided for comparison, the model’s view stands on its own assessment of the teams’ current form and past encounters.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Umeå FC | Stocksund | 2 - 2 | May 31, 2026 |
| Stocksund | Umeå FC | 1 - 1 | September 1, 2024 |
| Umeå FC | Stocksund | 4 - 2 | May 9, 2024 |
| Umeå FC | Stocksund | 3 - 5 | September 10, 2023 |
| Stocksund | Umeå FC | 0 - 1 | June 4, 2023 |
Stocksund Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Away | Stockholm Internazionale | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | IF Karlstad | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Assyriska FF | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Arlanda | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Vasalund | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Karlberg | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Umeå FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | Piteå | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Stockholm Internazionale | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Arlanda | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Vasalund | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Enköping | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | gefle IF | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Ettan - Norra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Umeå FC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Stocksund | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 14 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.45% likelihood that both Stocksund and Umeå FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Stocksund or Umeå FC to win
This prediction indicates that Umeå FC has a 37.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.82 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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