La Liga
Match Analysis
Sevilla
Barcelona
Sevilla
W
W
D
L
W
W
Barcelona
W
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees Barcelona as clearly the stronger side, with a notable quality gap in their favor. Both teams are in strong recent form, and their past meetings have tended to be high-scoring, with Barcelona dominating those games. The model predicts an away win with a 73% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. It also expects over 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on this point.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Sevilla | 5 - 2 | March 15, 2026 |
| Sevilla | Barcelona | 4 - 1 | October 5, 2025 |
| Sevilla | Barcelona | 1 - 4 | February 9, 2025 |
| Barcelona | Sevilla | 5 - 1 | October 20, 2024 |
| Sevilla | Barcelona | 1 - 2 | May 26, 2024 |
| Barcelona | Sevilla | 1 - 0 | September 29, 2023 |
Sevilla Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | Deportivo La Coruna | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Valencia | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Espanyol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Atletico Madrid | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Athletic Club | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Rayo Vallecano | 2 - 1 | Win |
Barcelona Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Home | Racing Santander | 7 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Levante | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 9, 26 | Home | Feyenoord | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Valencia | 0 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Rayo Vallecano | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Athletic Club | 2 - 0 | Win |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | +22 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 13 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.71% likelihood that both Sevilla and Barcelona will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Barcelona to win
This prediction indicates that Barcelona has a 73.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.52 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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