La Liga
Match Analysis
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
W
L
L
L
L
D
Levante
L
D
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Villarreal and Levante are showing poor recent form, but Villarreal carries a clear quality gap in their favor and has dominated recent meetings between the two sides. The model predicts a home win with a 65% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score and for the match to exceed 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Levante | 1 - 0 | August 5, 2026 |
| Villarreal | Levante | 5 - 1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Levante | Villarreal | 0 - 1 | February 18, 2026 |
| Villarreal | Levante | 3 - 1 | August 3, 2022 |
| Levante | Villarreal | 2 - 0 | April 2, 2022 |
| Villarreal | Levante | 5 - 0 | January 3, 2022 |
Villarreal Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Away | Malaga | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 14, 26 | Home | Real Betis | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Borussia Dortmund | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Deportivo La Coruna | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Alaves | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Atletico Madrid | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Levante Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Barcelona | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Malaga | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Real Betis | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Osasuna | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Espanyol | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Castellón | 1 - 3 | Win |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Villarreal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.83% likelihood that both Villarreal and Levante will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Villarreal to win
This prediction indicates that Villarreal has a 65.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.36 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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