La Liga
Match Analysis
Getafe
Malaga
Getafe
L
D
D
L
L
W
Malaga
L
D
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Getafe and Malaga are in poor recent form, making this a tricky matchup. However, Getafe holds a modest quality edge and has dominated recent meetings, where goals have been scarce. The model predicts a home win with a 47% probability, which is slightly more confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance that no goals will be scored by either side, aligning with the recent trend of low-scoring games between these teams.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | Getafe | 0 - 1 | May 19, 2018 |
| Getafe | Malaga | 1 - 0 | January 12, 2018 |
| Malaga | Getafe | 3 - 0 | February 5, 2016 |
| Getafe | Malaga | 1 - 0 | September 18, 2015 |
| Malaga | Getafe | 3 - 2 | February 28, 2015 |
| Getafe | Malaga | 1 - 0 | September 28, 2014 |
Getafe Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Away | Real Betis | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 7, 26 | Home | Celta Vigo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Osasuna | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | FK Partizan | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Racing Santander | 1 - 0 | Win |
Malaga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Home | Villarreal | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Celta Vigo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Levante | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Real Madrid | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Atletico Madrid | 2 - 0 | Loss |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Getafe | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | Malaga | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Getafe to win
This prediction indicates that Getafe has a 46.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.60 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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