La Liga
Match Analysis
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Valencia
W
L
L
L
L
D
Real Sociedad
L
L
W
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Real Sociedad has had the upper hand in games between these two teams, often keeping the matches tight with few goals. The model predicts a 36% chance of an away win for Real Sociedad, reflecting their modest quality edge and better recent form compared to Valencia, despite Valencia's rest advantage. The market odds show a close contest, but the model's confidence in an away win is slightly higher than what the odds imply. The model also expects goals, with over 1.5 goals at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 53%, both aligning closely with the market's inclination towards a higher-scoring game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Valencia | 3 - 4 | May 17, 2026 |
| Valencia | Real Sociedad | 1 - 1 | August 16, 2025 |
| Valencia | Real Sociedad | 1 - 0 | January 19, 2025 |
| Real Sociedad | Valencia | 3 - 0 | September 28, 2024 |
| Real Sociedad | Valencia | 1 - 0 | May 16, 2024 |
| Valencia | Real Sociedad | 0 - 1 | September 27, 2023 |
Valencia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Alaves | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 11, 26 | Away | Sevilla | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Barcelona | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Deportivo La Coruna | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Real Betis | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Celta Vigo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Real Sociedad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Home | Bournemouth | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Atletico Madrid | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 7, 26 | Away | Elche | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 3, 26 | Home | Celta Vigo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Espanyol | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Real Madrid | 4 - 1 | Loss |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.69% likelihood that both Valencia and Real Sociedad will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Real Sociedad to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Real Sociedad has a 35.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.69 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments