Ettan - Norra
Match Analysis
FBK Karlstad
Sollentuna
FBK Karlstad
D
W
W
W
L
W
Sollentuna
L
L
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for FBK Karlstad with a 46% probability. The prediction leans toward a home win due to a clear quality gap favoring FBK Karlstad and their strong recent form compared to Sollentuna's moderate form. Additionally, recent meetings between the two teams have been goal-filled, aligning with the model's view that both teams are likely to score and that there will be over 1.5 goals, with probabilities of 51% and 54% respectively. The market odds for the home win are close to the model's confidence level, suggesting a similar outlook.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sollentuna | FBK Karlstad | 0 - 2 | June 18, 2026 |
| FBK Karlstad | Sollentuna | 1 - 2 | August 17, 2024 |
| Sollentuna | FBK Karlstad | 2 - 2 | April 20, 2024 |
FBK Karlstad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | IF Karlstad | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Vasalund | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Järfälla | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Piteå | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Arlanda | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Enköping | 2 - 0 | Win |
Sollentuna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Home | Enköping | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Hammarby Talang | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | gefle IF | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | AFC Eskilstuna | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | IF Karlstad | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Järfälla | 2 - 1 | Win |
Ettan - Norra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FBK Karlstad | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 38 |
| 13 | Sollentuna | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 23 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.73% likelihood that both FBK Karlstad and Sollentuna will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.FBK Karlstad to win
This prediction indicates that FBK Karlstad has a 46.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.12 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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