La Liga
Match Analysis
Espanyol
Elche
Espanyol
L
W
D
L
L
W
Elche
L
D
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Espanyol has had the upper hand in matches between these two teams. The model predicts a home win with a 54% probability, which aligns closely with the market's view, as the odds also favor Espanyol. Despite both teams showing poor recent form and having similar rest periods, the model also sees a 53% chance that both sides will score and a 52% chance for over 1.5 and over 2.5 total goals, suggesting a relatively open and potentially high-scoring game, somewhat more optimistic than the market odds imply for the over/under markets.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | Espanyol | 2 - 2 | March 1, 2026 |
| Espanyol | Elche | 1 - 0 | October 25, 2025 |
| Elche | Espanyol | 2 - 2 | April 27, 2024 |
| Espanyol | Elche | 2 - 0 | November 18, 2023 |
| Elche | Espanyol | 0 - 1 | February 19, 2023 |
| Espanyol | Elche | 2 - 2 | October 23, 2022 |
Espanyol Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Rayo Vallecano | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Osasuna | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Sevilla | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Real Sociedad | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Real Madrid | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Levante | 3 - 0 | Win |
Elche Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Real Madrid | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Athletic Club | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 7, 26 | Home | Real Sociedad | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Racing Santander | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Barcelona | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 - 1 | Draw |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Espanyol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 20 | Elche | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.42% likelihood that both Espanyol and Elche will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Espanyol to win
This prediction indicates that Espanyol has a 54.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.59 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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